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2021年最具战略意义技术趋势(2022年)

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2021年最具战略意义技术趋势(2022年)

 

 Intr oduction

 Disruption

 is the

 hallmark

 of

 2 02 0 . Although

 many leader s

 ar e

 used

 to

 some

 le v el

 of

 const ant

 change , CO VID- 1 9

 impacted

 the

 w orld

 in

 w a ys no

 one

 could ha v e

 pr edicted.

 In

 turn,

 or ganiz ations

 ha v e

 had

 to piv ot

 and

 str ategiz e , adapt

 and

 change

 in

 ne w

 w a ys. As

 or ganiz ations

 continue

 to

 r e spond

 to

 the

 crisis and

 e xplor e

 ne w

 w a ys to

 oper ate

 and

 driv e

 gr ow th, the

 Gar tner

 top

 strategic

 tr ends

 highlight

 ar e as

 of oppor tunity

 and

 w a ys f or

 or ganiz ations

 to

 di ff er entiate themselv e s

 fr om

 competitor s.

 Or ganiz ations

 that

 ar e

 pr epar ed

 to

 piv ot

 and

 adapt will

 w e ather

 all

 type s

 of

 disruptions.

 As

 alw a ys, the se strategic

 technology

 tr ends

 do

 not

 oper ate

 independently of

 e ach

 other , but

 r ather

 the y

 build

 on

 and

 r einf or ce

 e ach other . T ogether

 the y

 enable

 or ganiz ational

 plasticity

 that will

 help

 guide

 or ganiz ations

 in

 the

 ne xt

 fiv e

 y e ar s.

 R e se ar ch

 V ice

 Pr e sident,

 Gar tner

 This y e ar’ s

 tr ends

 f all

 along

 thr ee

 theme s:

 P eople centricity , location

 independence

 and

 r e silient

 deliv ery . • De spite

 the

 pandemic

 changing

 ho w many

 people

 w ork

 and

 inter act

 with

 or ganiz ations,

 people ar e

 still

 at

 the

 center

 of

 all

 busine ss

 —

 and

 the y

 need digit aliz ed

 pr oce sse s

 to

 function

 in

 toda y’ s

 en vir onment.

 • CO VID- 1 9

 has shif ted

 wher e emplo y ee s,

 customer s,

 supplier s

 and

 or ganiz ational ecos ystems

 ph ysically

 e xist.

 L ocation

 independence r equir e s

 a

 technology

 shif t

 to

 suppor t

 this

 ne w

 version of

 busine ss.

 • Whether

 a

 pandemic

 or

 a

 r ece ssion, v olatility

 e xists

 in

 the

 w orld.

  Or ganiz ations

 that

 ar e

 pr epar ed

 to

 piv ot

 and

 adapt

 will w e ather

 all

 type s

 of

 disruptions.

 As

 alw a ys, the se

 strategic technology

 tr ends

 do

 not

 oper ate

 independently

 of

 e ach other , but

 r ather

 the y

 build

 on

 and

 r einf or ce

 e ach

 other . T ogether

 the y

 enable

 or ganiz ational

 plasticity

 that

 will help

 guide

 or ganiz ations

 in

 the

 ne xt

 fiv e

 y e ar s.

  P eopl e

 centricit y

 Internet

 of B eha vior s

 The Internet

 of

 Beha vior s

 (IoB)

 captur e s

 the

 “ digit al

 dust”

 of people ’ s

 liv e s

 fr om

 a

 v ariety

 of

 sour ce s,

 and

 that

 inf ormation can

 be

 used

 b y

 public

 or

 priv ate

 entitie s

 to

 influence

 beha vior . The dat a

 can

 come

 fr om

 a

 r ange

 of

 sour ce s,

 fr om

 commer cial customer

 dat a

 to

 social

 media

 to

 f acial

 r ecognition,

 and

 as mor e

 and

 mor e

 dat a

 become s

 a vailable , the

 IoB will

 captur e incr e asing

 amounts

 of

 inf ormation.

 A dditionally , the

 technology that

 puts

 all

 the

 dat a

 together

 and

 dr a ws

 insight

 is gr o wing incr e asingly

 sophisticated.

 The IoB pr e sents

 significant

 and

 per v asiv e

 social

 and

 ethical implications.

 Collecting

 dat a

 to

 influence

 beha vior s

 has the potential

 to

 be

 a

 po w er ful

 tool,

 and

 its

 social

 r eception

 might depend

 on

 just

 ho w

 he a vy-handed

 or ganiz ations

 ar e

 with what

 the y’ r e

 tr ying

 to

 do .

  F or

 e xample , while

 driv er s

 ma y

 not

 object

 to

 ha ving

 speed, br aking

 and

 cornering

 tr ack ed

 in

 e xchange

 f or

 lo w er

 insur ance pr emiums,

 the y

 might

 not

 be

 as

 r eceptiv e

 to

 la w

 enf or cement also

 being

 able

 to

 tr ack

 that

 inf ormation.

 A t

 the

 end

 of

 the

 da y , the

 IoB must

 off er

 a

 mutual

 benefit

 to

 both

 par tie s

 or

 risk

 being r ejected

 b y

 consumer s.

 F or

 cer t ain

 geogr aphical

 ar e as,

 much

 of

 the

 scope

 and e x ecution

 of

 an

 IoB will

 depend

 on

 local

 priv acy

 la ws, which

 ma y

 aff ect

 ho w

 dat a

 can

 be

 used

 and

 in

 what

 w a y .

 P eopl e

 centricit y

  T ot al

 e xperience

 T ot al

 e xperience

 combine s

 tr aditionally

 siloed

 discipline s

 lik e multie xperience

 (MX),

 customer

 e xperience

 (C X),

 emplo y ee e xperience

 (EX)

 and

 user

 e xperience

 (U X),

 and

 link s

 them to

 cr e ate

 a

 better

 o verall

 e xperience

 f or

 all

 par tie s.

 Not

 only doe s

 this

 str e amline

 the

 e xperience

 f or

 e veryone , because or ganiz ations

 ar e

 optimizing

 acr oss all

 e xperience s,

 it

 off er s an

 e x cellent

 oppor tunity

 to

 diff er entiate

 an

 or ganiz ation fr om

 competitor s.

 W ith

 an

 o verall

 goal

 of

 tr ansf orming

 the

 entir e

 e xperience , tot al

 e xperience

 enable s

 or ganiz ations

 to

 le an

 into

 the challenge s

 cr e ated

 b y

 CO VID- 1 9

 and

 identif y

 ne w

 activitie s that

 the y

 can

 integr ate

 and

 build

 on.

  T ot al

 e xperience

 in

 pr actice

 A lar ge

 telecommunications

 compan y

 tr ansf ormed

 its

 entir e e xperience

 to

 impr o v e

 saf ety

 and

 satisf action.

 F ir st,

 it

 deplo y ed

 an

 appointment

 s ystem

 via

 an

 e xisting

 app . When

 customer s

 arrived

 f or

 their

 appointment

 and

 came w i t h i n

 75

 f eet

 of

 the

 stor e , the y

 r eceiv ed

 tw o

 things:

 1. A notification

 to

 guide

 them

 thr ough

 the

 check -in

 pr oce ss.

 2. An

 aler t

 letting

 them

 kno w

 ho w

 long

 it

 w ould

 be befor e

 the y

 could

 saf ely

 enter

 the

 stor e

 and

 maint ain social

 dist ance . T o

 enhance

 emplo y ee

 saf ety , the

 compan y

 also

 deplo y ed technology

 that

 allo w ed

 associate s

 to

 co-br o wse

 customer har dw ar e

 without

 ph ysically

 touching

 the

 device .

 P eopl e

 centricit y

 Privac y -enhancing comput a tion

 Priv acy-enhancing

 comput ation

 comprise s

 thr ee

 type s

 of technologie s

 that

 pr otect

 dat a

 while

 it’ s

 being

 used

 to

 enable secur e

 dat a

 pr oce ssing

 and

 dat a

 analy tics:

 • The fir st

 pr ovide s

 a

 trusted

 en vir onment

 in

 which

 sensitiv e dat a

 can

 be

 pr oce ssed

 or

 analyz ed.

 It

 include s

 trusted

 thir d par tie s

 and

 har dw ar e-trusted

 e x ecution

 en vir onments

 (also called

 confidential

 computing).

 • The second

 per f orms

 pr oce ssing

 and

 analy tics

 in

 a decentr aliz ed

 manner . It

 include s

 f eder ated

 machine le arning

 and

 priv acy -a w ar e

 machine

 le arning.

 • The thir d

 tr ansf orms

 dat a

 and

 algorithms

 befor e pr oce ssing

 or

 analy tics.

 It

 include s

 diff er ential

 priv acy , homomorphic

 encr yption,

 secur e

 multipar ty

 comput ation, z ero-kno wledge

 pr oof s,

 priv ate

 set

 inter section

 and priv ate

 inf ormation

 r etrie v al.

 This enable s

 or ganiz ations

 to

 saf ely

 share

 dat a

 in

 untrusted en vir onments,

 an

 incr e asingly

 in-demand

 de sir e

 as

 the

 amount of

 dat a

 gr o ws

 alongside

 the

 need

 to

 pr otect

 that

 dat a.

  Wha t

 is

 homomorphic

 encryption ?

 Homomorphic

 encr yption

 (HE)

 is a

 cr yptogr aphic

 method that

 enable s

 thir d

 par tie s

 to

 pr oce ss

 encr ypted

 dat a

 and r eturn

 an

 encr ypted

 r e sult

 to

 the

 dat a

 owner , while

 pr o viding no

 kno wledge

 about

 the

 dat a

 or

 the

 r e sults.

 HE

 enable s algorithm

 pr ovider s

 to

 pr otect

 propriet ar y

 algorithms

 and dat a

 owner s

 to

 k eep

 dat a

 priv ate . Homomorphic

 encr yption is still

 maturing.

 In

 pr actice

 toda y , fully

 homomorphic

 encr yption is not

 f ast

 enough

 f or

 most

 busine ss

 implement ations.

  L oc a tio n

 independenc e

  Distributed

 cloud

 Distributed

 cloud

 pr ovide s

 public

 cloud

 options

 to

 diff er ent ph ysical

 locations.

 Essentially , the

 public

 cloud

 compan y maint ains,

 oper ate s

 and

 e v olv e s

 the

 ser vice s,

 but

 ph ysically e x ecute s

 at

 the

 point

 of

 need.

 This helps

 with

 latenc y

 issue s, and

 also

 priv acy

 r egulations

 that

 r equir e

 cer t ain

 dat a

 to

 r emain in

 a

 specific

 geogr aphical

 location.

 It

 allo ws

 customer s

 to benefit

 fr om

 public

 cloud

 and

 a v oid

 costly

 and

 complicated priv ate

 cloud

 solutions.

 The

 man y

 style s

 of

 distributed

 cloud:

  This is a

 popular

 v endor off ering,

 but

 it

 off er s

 only

 a

 fr action

 of

 the

 pr ovider’ s full

 suite

 and

 r emains

 r elativ ely

 immatur e .

 Distributed

 ser vice s that

 inter act

 dir ectly

 with

 edge

 de vice s.

  The distribution

 of

 cloud ser vice s

 into

 node s

 in

 a

 city

 or

 metr o

 ar e a

 connecting

 to multiple

 customer s.

  The deliv ery

 of

 distributed

 cloud ser vice s

 as

 par t

 of

 a

 5G telco / carrier

 netw ork.

  The deliv ery

 of

 cloud

 ser vice s designed

 to

 integr ate

 with

 global

 netw ork

 infr astructur e such

 as

 cell

 to w er s,

 hubs

 and

 r outer s.

  L oc a tio n

 independenc e

 An y wher e oper a tions

 An y wher e

 oper ations

 r ef er s

 to

 an

 IT

 oper ating

 model designed

 to

 suppor t

 customer s

 e very wher e , enable emplo y ee s

 e very wher e

 and

 manage

 the

 deplo yment

 of busine ss

 ser vice s

 acr oss distributed

 infr astructur e . The model

 f or

 an y wher e

 oper ations

 is “ digit al

 fir st,

 r emote

 fir st . ”

 Ho w e ver , it’ s

 not

 as

 simple

 as

 just

 oper ating

 r emotely

 —

 the model

 must

 o ff er

 unique

 v alue-add

 e xperience s.

 Pr o viding a

 se amle ss

 and

 scalable

 digit al

 e xperience

 r equir e s

 change s in

 the

 technology

 infr astructur e , management

 pr actice s, security

 and

 go vernance

 policie s,

 and

 emplo y ee

 and customer

 engagement

 models.

  This

 technology

 f ounda tion

 compris e s fiv e

 building

 block s:

 W ork str e am

 collabor ation, meeting

 solutions,

 cloud

 office

 suite s,

 digit al

 whiteboar ding and

 smar t

 w ork space s

 P ass w or dle ss

 and

 multif actor authentication,

 z er o

 trust

 netw ork

 acce ss

 (ZTNA),

 secur e

 acce ss ser vice

 edge

 (S A SE)

 and

 identity

 as

 the

 ne w

 security

 perimeter

 Distributed

 cloud,

 the

 Io T , API gate w a ys, AI at

 the

 edge

 and

 edge

 pr oce ssing

 Digit al

 e xperience monitoring,

 w orkplace

 analy tics,

 r emote

 suppor t

 and cont actle ss

 inter actions

 T AIOps,

 endpoint management,

 SaaS

 management

 plat f orms,

 self -ser vice

 and z er o-touch

 pr ovisioning

 L oc a tio n

 independenc e

 Cyber s ecurity me sh

 The c yber se...

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